Inside The Paul Volcker Memoir

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Inside The Paul Volcker Memoir

Paul Volcker
By Robert Wenzel

I consider the recently published Paul Volcker memoir, Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money as well as Good Government, must reading for market traders as well as active investors.

It provides remarkable insight into how authorities officials think and react during fiscal as well as economical crises. Understanding that volition travel valuable in future crises. It does non seem Volcker holds back.

He tells us, for example, of the fourth dimension Nixon management Treasury Secretary John Connally attended an of import international banking conference inwards Munich, Germany.

Volcker  writes that when Connally was speaking earlier the group, he said:
I desire without whatsoever arrogance or defiance to arrive abundantly clear that nosotros are non going to devalue, nosotros are non going to change the cost of gold, nosotros are going to command inflation.
After he left the podium, Volcker asked him if he actually meant it. Volcker writes:
His answer remains etched inwards my memory: "That's my unalterable topographic point today. I don't know what it volition travel this summer."
The mass is packed with these type of anecdotes that supply a skillful lesson on what goes on behind the scenes involving top authorities fiscal as well as economical players. Volcker had long experience in such matters including equally Federal Reserve Board chairman, New York Federal Reserve Bank president as well as equally nether Treasury Secretary for international monetary affairs, to yell simply a few positions that gave him a topographic point at the insider tables.

That said, acre Volcker appears to supply a fairly transparent reporting on his long menses inwards high grade government. that transparency disappears in his telling of parts of his post-Fed career.

He simply mentions inwards passing that he was a founding fellow member of the Trilateral Commission, chairman of the board of trustees of the Group of Thirty as well as chairman of the Rockefeller-founded International House. He gives no detailed feel equally to what goes on at these elitist organizations or why, fourth dimension after time, he was tapped to caput these as well as many other powerful organizations.

Early inwards the book, Volcker names drops the Austrian School as well as specifically names Ludwig von Mises as well as Friedrich Hayek. He tells us he is familiar with the schoolhouse as well as these Austrian greats because he studied nether the Austrian Oskar Morgenstern at Princeton.

Though, he gives no indication inwards his mass that he is familiar with Austrian schoolhouse draw of piece of occupation concern wheel theory.

In fact, he appears to travel a golden hater as well as reports inwards the mass that early on, acre at Treasury, he wrote a memo that outlined how the U.S. should suspend golden payments:
[I] started on a long memo outlining the proposed approach: "suspension" (of golden convertibility), negotiation of novel telephone commutation values, as well as "reform" inwards that order, all intended to "reinvigorate" the Bretton Woods system.
He is besides bad on merchandise deficits throughout the mass as well as appears to travel almost Trumpian inwards his anti-trade deficit  thinking.

On the addition side, he appears suspicious of econometrics as well as besides spends a skillful bargain of fourth dimension attacking the electrical current Fed notion of a "target" for cost inflation:
More recently, a remarkable consensus has developed alongside cardinal bankers that there’s a novel “red line” for policy: Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 2 per centum charge per unit of measurement of growth inwards about carefully designed consumer cost index is acceptable, fifty-fifty desirable, as well as at the same fourth dimension provides a limit.
I puzzle close the rationale. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 2 per centum target, or limit, was non inwards my textbooks years ago. I know of no theoretical justification. It’s hard to travel both a target as well as a bound at the same time. And a 2 per centum inflation rate, successfully maintained, would hateful the cost grade doubles inwards footling to a greater extent than than a generation.
As far equally his menses equally Fed chairman goes, he did create create off price inflation. There own got been many other chairs much worse. The same goes for the book, it is improve than that of others that own got held his ability topographic point at the Fed.

The mass is fast reading as well as y'all tin travel certain that within a plough of a page or two, Volcker volition supply about wry tale that volition brand the mass fun as well as operate along it moving, but no secrets revealed close the Trilateral Commission, the Group of Thirty as well as other to a greater extent than ofttimes than non Rockefeller related side gigs that own got fallen into his lap. There are about stories Volcker is taking with him to that spot inwards hell reserved for cardinal bankers, where 1 mightiness approximate he volition travel named chairman.



Robert Wenzel is Editor & Publisher of
and Target Liberty. 

More close Wenzel here. 










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