22 Days Inwards Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 20) (A Very, Really Bad, Inconsistent, Methodological Perspective)

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Title : 22 Days Inwards Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 20) (A Very, Really Bad, Inconsistent, Methodological Perspective)
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22 Days Inwards Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 20) (A Very, Really Bad, Inconsistent, Methodological Perspective)

Lesson xx inwards Paul Krugman's Masterclass is eleven minutes in addition to 27 seconds long.

In this class, Krugman begins past times discussing methodology in addition to correctly points out that the globe is likewise complex to run experiments the means you lot tin inwards the physical sciences. Though he continues to limited things inwards an unclear manner in addition to doesn't position things equally succinctly as I demand keep inwards the higher upwardly sentence.

But in addition to so he goes haywire.


After maxim the globe is likewise complex, he claims that you lot tin notice "natural experiments." Thus reaching the absurd decision that the globe is likewise complex to brand crusade in addition to number experiments but nonetheless at the same fourth dimension they produce autumn from heaven, so to speak, equally "natural experiments" from fourth dimension to time.

This does cipher other than prove that Krugman doesn't empathise the fundamental problem alongside crusade in addition to number experiments inwards the social sciences. That is, it doesn't affair if the experiments are designed past times humans or autumn naturally, the globe is likewise complex to create upwardly one's hear full general rules out of such experiments.

He fails to empathise what the peachy Austrian schoolhouse economists demand keep taught us, that inwards economics, to create upwardly one's hear full general principles, deductive methods must move used from real basic principles. Economics is never a scientific discipline of tests in addition to measures.

To present the absurdity of Krugman's  "natural experiments" thinking, he uses the instance of the minimum wage where he claims "natural experiments" present that an growth inwards the minimum wage does non crusade unemployment.

Of course, he tin alone brand this preposterous claim because the "natural experiments" he is considering do not accept into consideration all the complex factors beyond what are included inwards the data.

Then Krugman launches into the "Paradox Of Thrift" which was popularized past times John Maynard Keynes. It claims that individuals may salve at times, which leads to a autumn inwards aggregate demand in addition to therefore inwards economical growth.

Of course, this is nonsense in addition to leads us sum circle to where inwards an early on lesson (lesson 4), he implicitly denies basic furnish in addition to demand economics. You can't demand keep a autumn inwards aggregate demand that would tedious growth inwards the economy, prices would but adapt to a novel cost degree based on the coin actively operating inwards the economy--and this is alone inwards a menses when individuals are desirous of belongings to a greater extent than cash.

If individuals select to salve more, that is where they wish to position funds into the investment stream, this results inwards to a greater extent than majuscule investments---again furnish in addition to demand will, via involvement rates inwards the instance of savings in addition to investment, crusade the savings in addition to investment markets to clear. There is never a clearing problem. The "Paradox Of Thrift" does non exist.

Keynes (and thus Krugman) is actually a mess on this. As Henry Hazlitt position it inwards The Failure of the "New Economics":
I notice it impossible to follow his distinctions, oscillations, reverses in addition to contradictions.
Krugman in addition to so mentions information sources he uses:

For US data from the St. Louis Fed, Federal Reserve Economic Data, known equally "FRED"

And 3 sources for glocal data:

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation in addition to Development (OECD) data

World Bank data

in addition to International Monetary Fund (IMF) data

-RW 

Links to discussions of all Krugman's Masterclass lessons are here.








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