22 Days Inward Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 7) (Krugman Lies Amongst Statistics)

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Title : 22 Days Inward Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 7) (Krugman Lies Amongst Statistics)
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22 Days Inward Paul Krugman's Masterclass (Day 7) (Krugman Lies Amongst Statistics)

Lesson vii inwards Paul Krugman's Masterclass is 8 minutes too 53 seconds long.

In this class, Krugman exactly outright lies amongst statistics.

This is his near deceitful video thus far.

Being a monetary Keynesian, he root tells us that "You tin solve a recession past times printing money." This, of course, is wrong. (See: Austrian School Business Cycle Theory past times Murray Rothbard.) He thus points to the 2007 recession too Federal Reserve answer equally an example.

He thus goes on to tell us that the Great Recession (2007 Dec to 2009 June) was a current when coin printing failed because of a "liquidity trap," which way no 1 is spending money--just belongings near of it.

But if you lot believe inwards the possibility of a "liquidity trap," you lot can't perchance believe inwards a substitution regulation of economics: provide too need too that markets clear.

If economical actors are hoarding significant amounts of cash thus prices volition conform too markets volition clear, no liquidity trap.

But Krugman becomes a snake in trying to test his instance past times claiming the Federal Reserve pumped inwards massive amounts of coin too that, too I quote him, "There was no [price] inflation."

He is using the no cost inflation claim equally a proxy for proof that in that location was a liquidity trap. There are many problems amongst him using cost inflation equally a proxy inwards this way but allow us exactly proceed to the pump of the prevarication too hold off at the obvious places he attempts to travel a sneak.

First off, he uses the monetary base of operations to demo the amount of coin he claims the Fed printed but fails to cite that a lot of that coin (aided past times Bernanke starting to pay involvement on reserves) merely went into excess reserves too non into the system.

Here is the nautical chart of the pct alter inwards monetary base of operations annualized too the same for M2 coin provide equally calculated past times the Fed.



As tin travel seen past times the above, the monetary base of operations exploded (blue line) early afterwards the recession started compared to M2 (red line) growth. It is really dishonest for Krugman to purpose the monetary base of operations equally opposed to M2 too likewise neglect to cite that Bernanke started paying involvement on reserves which played a constituent inwards the monetary base of operations non causing a similar increment charge per unit of measurement inwards M2.

But it gets worse.

Remember, Krugman's claim is that in that location was no cost inflation fifty-fifty amongst the Fed printing.

He published this nautical chart (I captured it conduct from the video too added the arrow)



The bluish business shows the monetary base of operations index increment too the blood-red business shows the consumer cost index
which supposedly shows that in that location was no cost inflation.

But doing it this way is merely dishonest. As nosotros saw inwards the root nautical chart the monetary base exploded past times equally much equally 120% on an annualized basis. By using the same scale on the Y axis for the monetary base of operations too the CPI, he is creating an impression that in that location has been no cost inflation but this is non true.

Here is the CPI for the same current on its ain scale:




Prices genuinely accept climbed by approx 20% from the start of the Great Recession. This shows the dishonest methods Krugman is instantly resorting to inwards his "Masterclass."

Krugman is merely lying when he says in that location hasn't been whatsoever cost inflation. He is doing this because he tin hardly claim a "liquidity trap" if prices accept climbed past times 20%!

What a sneak.

-RW 

Links to discussions of all Krugman's Masterclass lessons are here.





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